The rerun election in Bauchi state will only be an academic exercise since the Independence National Electoral Commission (INEC) has reversed the illegal cancellation of the election of Tafawa Balewa Local Government Area by Prof Mohammed Kyari, state Returning Officer.
The Commission said the result from Tafawa Balewa will now be regenerated from the 11 Registration Areas (Wards) in the LGA.
As things stand now:
The total number of collated and announced votes :
PDP 469,512
APC 465,453
Diff 4,059
Tafawa Balewa result
PDP 40,010
APC 29,862
When the result for Tafawa Balewa is regenerated and added on Tuesday, it will come to:
PDP 509,522
APC 495,315
Difference 14,207
Recall that both the compromised Bauchi INEC REC and Mohammed Kyari fraudulently claimed that the cancelled votes is 45,312.
However, the fact-finding Committee set up by the Commission discovered that the actual figure of cancelled votes in Ningi LGA is 2,533 and not 25,330 as recorded earlier. INEC has now reversed the fraud by reducing the figure to its original of 2,533 for Ningi LGA.
This therefore means that the total number of cancelled votes in the entire Bauchi state is: 45,312- 25, 533= 19,779. Plus about 3 polling units the total could be 23,000 or even far less than that.
Assuming but not conceding that the total number of cancelled votes is actually 23,000 which is very unlikely in this circumstance.
Remember PDP is leading with 14,207. 23,000-14,207= 8,793 votes difference
This is a mathematical impossibility for APC/Governor Mohammed Abdullahi Abubakar :
PDP/Kaura need less than 9,000 votes out of the 23,000 cancelled votes. And for APC/MA, they must win all the 23,000 votes which is practically impossible.
Again, not all the 23,000 registered voters in the affected Polling Units collected their PVCs, meaning that the number of people that will actually vote if the rerun election is conducted could be far less than the 23,000 canceled votes and if INEC, after collating the result of Tafawa Balewa LGA come to the determination of the actual and real figure of cancelled votes based on record of PVC collection to be less than 14,000, then Sen Bala Mohammed will automatically be declared winner.
Both MA Abubakar and the Bauchi APC know these facts and that is why the State party chairman Uba Nana held a press conference today March 16, 2019 in Bauchi, rejecting the decision of INEC on the Bauchi election but the bitter truth is-The Game is over for them-The people’s will has triumphed in Bauchin Yakubu.
Meanwhile, God has buttered the bread of the people of Tafawa Balewa who have been receiving trailer loads of gifts including motor bikes, cars, cash, etc from Governor MA in the last few days in the anticipation that a rerun poll will be conducted in the area. At least, they have recovered parts of their looted funds no matter how paltry and insignificant the amount.
